State-by-State Analysis
A predictive analysis using validated market transition frameworks The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 The Paradise Paradox Hawaii made history in 2000 as the first state to legalize medical cannabis through legislative action rather than ballot initiative. Twenty-five years later, that pioneering spirit has devolved into a cautionary tale: the
State-by-State Analysis
How a decade of legislative failure left Georgia with the nation's most limited medical program—and why federal reform is the only path forward The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 This analysis uses the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement (CBDT) Framework, validated across 24 U.S. cannabis markets with
State-by-State Analysis
How federal reform could transform the Sunshine State's $1.6B medical market and why 56% wasn't enough The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 This analysis uses the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement (CBDT) Framework, validated across 24 U.S. cannabis markets with 5% mean absolute error. View
State-by-State Analysis
How federal reform and home cultivation could transform the First State's equity-focused market The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 This analysis uses the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement (CBDT) Framework, validated across 24 U.S. cannabis markets with 5% mean absolute error. View validation data on Harvard Dataverse. Delaware&
State-by-State Analysis
How federal reform could save Connecticut's equity-focused market from regional price competition The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 This analysis uses the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement (CBDT) Framework, validated across 24 U.S. cannabis markets with 5% mean absolute error. View validation data on Harvard Dataverse. Connecticut'
State-by-State Analysis
How the pioneer state's success proves federal reform is essential—and what's threatening its lead The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 This analysis uses the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement (CBDT) Framework, validated across 24 U.S. cannabis markets with 5% mean absolute error. View validation data
State-by-State Analysis
How federal reform could unlock California's struggling $5 billion legal market The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 This analysis uses the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement (CBDT) Framework, validated across 24 U.S. cannabis markets with 5% mean absolute error. View validation data on Harvard Dataverse. California's
State-by-State Analysis
How the Natural State could optimize its medical program and prepare for adult-use legalization The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 This analysis uses the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement (CBDT) Framework, validated across 24 U.S. cannabis markets with 5% mean absolute error. View validation data on Harvard Dataverse. Arkansas'
State-by-State Analysis
Why the state that mastered tribal-state compacts can lead national cannabis policy The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 This analysis uses the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement (CBDT) Framework, validated across 24 U.S. cannabis markets with 5% mean absolute error. View validation data on Harvard Dataverse. Arizona's Unique
State-by-State Analysis
Using the CBDT Framework to understand why Alaska struggles at 48–55% legal share — and how policy optimization could reach 65–75% The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 The Alaska Paradox Alaska legalized adult-use cannabis in 2014 — earlier than Michigan, Illinois, New York, or New Jersey. The state has a
State-by-State Analysis
Using the CBDT Framework to predict Alabama’s market trajectory if adult-use legalization occurs The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 The Alabama Question Alabama isn’t California. It’s not Oregon or Colorado. It’s a conservative, law-and-order state in the Deep South with Republican supermajorities and a history of
Cannabis Moat Series
A validated framework for predicting legal vs. illicit market outcomes across all vice market transitions The Silent Majority 420 | Updated November 2025 The Central Question When a government legalizes a previously prohibited good or service, what determines how much of the market transitions from illegal to legal? This question matters