Federal and state cannabis policy analysis through the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement Theory (CBDT) Framework. Track active legislation, regulatory changes, and market dynamics across all 50 states. Our analysis examines how policy design impacts legal market adoption, black market displacement, and consumer behavior. Academic framework published in Harvard Dataverse provides evidence-based insights for policymakers, industry stakeholders and researchers navigating cannabis reform.
Legislative Analysis
Bill Status: Introduced January 27, 2025; No Hearing Scheduled (Likely Dead) Impact on Legal Market: Complete elimination of voter-approved medical program CBDT Framework Application: Medical market destruction analysis Last Updated: November 2025 Bill at a Glance CategoryDetailsBill NumberHB 1101Official Title"An Act to repeal provisions relating to medical cannabis&
Legislative Analysis
Bill Status: Passed Senate (2022, 2024), Died in House Both Times, Reintroduced January 2025 Impact on Legal Market: Medical program creation, NOT adult-use CBDT Framework Application: Medical market penetration analysis Last Updated: November 2025 Bill at a Glance CategoryDetailsBill NumberS.53Official Title"South Carolina Compassionate Care Act"Primary
Legislative Analysis
Administrative Reform Without Market Impact—Why Technical Fixes Don't Displace Black Markets The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 Bill at a Glance CategoryDetailsOfficial TitleAn Act Relating to Taxation - CannabisBill NumberHB 5829Session2025 Regular SessionSponsorsHouse Finance CommitteeStatusPassed House (vote margin TBD), Passed Senate (vote margin TBD), Signed by Governor
Legislative Analysis
CBDT Analysis: How a 97.5% Reduction in Trafficking Thresholds Strengthens Oklahoma's Legal Market While Protecting Compliant Businesses The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 Bill at a Glance FieldDetailsBillHB 1163Session2025 Regular SessionTitleMedical marijuana; decreasing weight amount of marijuana for aggravated trafficking offensePrimary SponsorRep. Tom Gann (R-Inola)House VotePassed
Legislative Analysis
Why the Ohio General Assembly's systematic undermining of Issue 2 threatens to turn voter-approved success into California-style policy failure The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 The Bill at a Glance FieldDetailsBillSenate Bill 56Session136th General Assembly (2025-2026)Primary SponsorSen. Stephen Huffman (R-Tipp City)Co-Sponsors6 Republican co-sponsorsSenate Vote23-9 (Feb 26,
Legislative Analysis
Why ultra-low dose restrictions ensure North Dakota's medical program remains among the nation's least effective The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 The Bill at a Glance FieldDetailsBillHB 1203Primary SponsorRep. Steve Vetter (R)StatusSigned by Governor Kelly Armstrong (R), April 21, 2025EffectiveAugust 1, 2025Products AvailableAugust/September 2025Official
Legislative Analysis
How the Democratic legalization bill would capture only 35-45% market share—and what fixing the tax structure could achieve The Silent Majority 420 | November 2025 The Bill at a Glance FieldDetailsBillHB 413Session2025 Regular SessionTitleMarijuana Legalization and Reinvestment ActPrimary SponsorRep. Jordan Lopez (D-Mecklenburg)Co-sponsors13 Democratic representativesStatusIntroduced March 17, 2025; stuck in
Legislative Analysis
How "Protecting Children" Becomes De Facto Prohibition for Millions of Legal Cannabis Users Prohibition by Geography: Criminalizing Legal Consumption Based on Neighbors' Family Status New York legalized adult cannabis consumption in 2021, allowing adults 21+ to possess and consume cannabis in their private residences. The Marijuana Regulation
Legislative Analysis
How Increasing the Fund from $50M to $300M Could Save New York's Equity Program—Or Why Capital Access Alone Can't Fix Structural Failure The $200 Million Promise That Became a $27 Million Reality When Governor Hochul announced the $200 million New York Social Equity Cannabis Investment
Legislative Analysis
How Evidence-Based Supply Policy Supports Legal Market Growth and Prevents Small Farm Extinction The Supply-Side Crisis Threatening New York's Cannabis Market While New York's cannabis market achieved 894% sales growth through potency tax repeal and enforcement scaling, a critical threat remains: the collapse of New York&
Legislative Analysis
How Smart Policy Design Increases Legal Market Share and Patient Access When Policy Gets It Right: S3294A as the Anti-Prohibition Model While New York A977 and A08581 threaten to destroy New York's cannabis market through product prohibition, Senate Bill S3294A demonstrates what evidence-based cannabis policy looks like. On
Legislative Analysis
How 15% and 25% Limits Would Eliminate 90-95% of Legal Cannabis Products and Return New York to Prohibition The Worst Cannabis Legislation Proposed in Any U.S. State While New York's cannabis market celebrates historic optimization—894% sales growth from potency tax repeal and enforcement scaling—Assemblyman Phil