Province by Province Analysis

Province by Province Analysis

Newfoundland and Labrador Cannabis Market Analysis: Extreme Isolation Economics—How Island Geography and 540K Population Define the 74-77% Capture Reality

November 2025: Newfoundland and Labrador operates 28+ Canopy Growth retail locations serving Atlantic Canada's smallest and most isolated province. Legal transaction capture: approximately 70-75%. That's a respectable outcome for Canada's most challenging market—matching New Brunswick's 70-75% despite even more extreme scale

Province by Province Analysis

New Brunswick Cannabis Market Analysis: The Minimum Viable Market—How Sub-1M Population Government Retail Defines the 74-77% Structural Floor

November 2025: New Brunswick operates 45+ Cannabis NB government retail locations serving Atlantic Canada's second-smallest province. Legal transaction capture: approximately 70-75%. That's a respectable outcome for Canada's second-smallest market—matching British Columbia's 70-75% despite massive scale disadvantage and geographic isolation, but falling

Province by Province Analysis

Nova Scotia Cannabis Market Analysis: Government Retail in Small Maritime Markets—Why Atlantic Canada's 75-78% Capture Reflects Dual Constraints of Monopoly Control and Population Scale

November 2025: Nova Scotia operates 65+ retail cannabis locations serving Atlantic Canada's largest province. Legal transaction capture: approximately 75-80%. That's a respectable outcome for a small market—significantly exceeding British Columbia's 70-75% despite massive scale disadvantage, matching Quebec's 75-80% despite government monopoly

Province by Province Analysis

Manitoba Cannabis Market Analysis: The Hybrid Model That Works—How Winnipeg's 138 Stores and Government Wholesale Achieve 76-80% Legal Capture Despite Six-Year Home Grow Ban

November 2025: Manitoba operates 180+ retail cannabis locations serving Canada's prairie heartland. Legal transaction capture: approximately 80-85%. That's a solid outcome—exceeding British Columbia's 70-75% and Quebec's 75-80%, approaching Ontario's 85%, but falling 5-10 points short of Alberta's

Province by Province Analysis

Saskatchewan Cannabis Market Analysis: The Prairie Success Story—How Canada's Smallest Western Province Achieves 78-82% Legal Capture Through Private Retail Pragmatism

November 2025: Saskatchewan operates ~194 private cannabis retail locations serving Canada's smallest western province. Legal transaction capture: approximately 78-82%. That's solid mid-tier performance—significantly better than British Columbia's 70-75% cultivation legacy struggles, approaching Ontario's 85% private retail success, though falling short of

Province by Province Analysis

Quebec Cannabis Market Analysis: Government Control vs. Market Capture—Why SQDC's Monopoly Achieves Respectable 75-80% But Sacrifices 10-15 Points to Private Competition

November 2025: Quebec operates 100+ SQDC (Société québécoise du cannabis) government retail locations serving Canada's second-largest province. Legal transaction capture: approximately 75-80%. That's a respectable outcome—significantly better than British Columbia's 70-75% and far superior to pre-legalization black market dominance. Quebec's centralized

Province by Province Analysis

Alberta Cannabis Market Analysis: Canada's Gold Standard—How Immediate Open Licensing Achieved 90%+ Legal Market Capture From Day One

November 2025: Alberta operates 550+ retail cannabis locations serving Canada's prairie heartland. Legal transaction capture: approximately 90-92%. That's the highest legal market share of any major cannabis jurisdiction in North America—exceeding Ontario's 85%, British Columbia's 70-75%, and matching or surpassing even

Province by Province Analysis

British Columbia Cannabis Market Analysis: The Emerald Triangle North—Why Canada's Legendary Cultivation Culture Creates Its Toughest Black Market Challenge

November 2025: British Columbia operates 450+ retail cannabis locations serving Canada's westernmost province. Legal transaction capture: approximately 70-75%. That's 15-20 percentage points below Ontario's 85% and a full 20 points below Alberta's 90%+ performance—despite BC having adequate retail access density and

Province by Province Analysis

Ontario Cannabis Market Analysis: From Lottery Disaster to 85% Legal Capture—and the Final Push to 95%

November 2025: Ontario operates 1,500+ retail locations serving Canada's largest provincial market. Legal transaction capture: approximately 85%. That's a 55-percentage-point improvement in market share through deliberate policy adjustment in under five years. Ontario's experience validates every prediction of the Consumer-Driven Black Market Displacement